In the vast expanse of the West Philippine Sea, a quiet but steady game of cat and mouse plays out daily. Ships from the Philippines and China circle each other like wary neighbors, watching every move. No one backs down, and no one stops. From November 7 to 15, 2025, this pattern held firm. Philippine vessels patrolled their waters, while Chinese ships shadowed them closely. Drones buzzed overhead, and diplomats traded sharp words. It’s a routine that echoes China’s long habit of easing into others’ lands—think Tibet, swallowed up in 1950 with promises of friendship that turned to control, or the Uyghurs in Xinjiang, where quiet takeover led to camps and silence. China seems to favor these slow grabs, testing borders until they stick. Here, in the sea, the Philippines stands firm, backed by allies, refusing to let history repeat.
A Week of Patrols and Probes
The week kicked off on November 7 with the close of the Second Manila Dialogue on the South China Sea. Held from November 5 to 7, this gathering brought experts from around the world to talk rules and rights in these waters. 0 Philippine leaders used the event to stress the 2016 arbitral ruling, which said China’s vast “nine-dash line” claim has no legal ground. 16 It’s a ruling Beijing ignores, much like it did with Tibet’s pleas for autonomy decades ago. That day, Philippine Coast Guard ships continued routine checks near Scarborough Shoal, a sandy spot China seized in 2012. Chinese vessels were spotted nearby, keeping tabs but not clashing outright. Fishermen from both sides fished warily, knowing one wrong turn could spark trouble.
By November 8, the focus shifted to laws on paper. The Philippines had just passed new maritime zone acts in late 2024, mapping out its sea borders clearly. 13 China protested, calling it a provocation. This mirrors their playbook: claim big, then cry foul when others draw lines. Remember Xinjiang? What started as “re-education” for Uyghurs grew into a web of surveillance and separation, all under the guise of harmony. In the sea, words like these set the stage for the week’s quiet standoffs. Philippine navy boats ran supply runs to outposts in the Spratly Islands, with Chinese coast guard ships trailing at a distance—close enough to watch, far enough to avoid bumps.
November 9 brought rough weather, with Super Typhoon Fung-wong slamming the Philippines. 7 It killed two and displaced a million, pulling eyes from the sea. But patrols didn’t stop. U.S. and Philippine forces kept an eye on Chinese movements via shared radar data. This teamwork highlights the cat-and-mouse feel: one side probes, the other counters with friends. China’s pattern shines here—gradual pressure, like the slow build in Tibet from aid to annexation. No big storms at sea that day, just the steady hum of engines and radios crackling with warnings.
Allies Step In: Drones and Drills
Midweek, on November 12, a deeper rift showed in Manila’s politics. The feud between President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte heated up, with her staying mum on sea issues while Marcos pushed U.S. ties. 12 That same day, a new U.S.-Philippines task force launched to boost joint ops against China’s “coercion” near Scarborough Shoal. U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth called it a stand for shared worries. 12 Chinese ships were active there, blocking fisher access in what Manila calls harassment. It’s the mouse dodging the cat, with backup mice joining in. This echoes China’s territorial loves: take Tibet by “peaceful liberation,” then Uyghur lands by “stability maintenance.” No one stopped it then; here, allies aim to change that script.
November 13 marked a key move. U.S. Marines rolled out an MQ-9A Reaper drone unit to bases in the Philippines. 49 These unarmed flyers would patrol high over the West Philippine Sea, spotting Chinese ships from afar. It’s domain awareness at its core—eyes in the sky for the ground game below. Philippine forces welcomed it, running parallel checks with their own boats. Chinese media grumbled, calling it meddling, but no direct response came at sea. Just more shadowing: a Chinese destroyer trailed a Philippine frigate near Palawan, radars locked but guns silent. The drone deploy reminds of China’s slow encroach—Xinjiang’s skies filled with watchers long before camps rose.
The next day, November 14, brought talk of “lawfare.” China ramped up legal jabs at the Philippines, twisting facts to claim Philippine boats cause trouble. 11 Beijing said its air and sea buzzes since January were just defense, ignoring the harassment logs from Manila. A Philippine lawmaker, Rufus Rodriguez, spoke at a Brussels summit, urging global lawmakers to push back with UNCLOS rules. 30 On water, things stayed calm but tense. Joint Philippine-U.S. patrols scanned for illegal fishing, spotting Chinese trawlers vacuuming reefs. No rammings, but warnings flew. It’s the endless chase: probe, evade, repeat. China’s history whispers caution—territories taken not by storm, but by steady squeeze, as in Tibet’s high plateaus or Uyghur villages turned checkpoints.
Drills and Diplomatic Digs
November 15, the week’s end, saw the Philippines kick off DAGIT-PA 09-2025 drills. 26 Over 2,000 troops practiced repelling invaders, focusing on Spratly spots like Thitu Island. Scenarios mimicked holding out 20-30 days for U.S. aid under their treaty. Chinese watchers noted it, but stayed offshore. Meanwhile, online chatter buzzed with clips of U.S. carrier USS Nimitz slicing through the sea, Super Hornets zipping by. 31 It’s show of force, subtle but clear. No big clashes, just the game rolling on.
This week fits a bigger picture. From January, Chinese ops upped, with 47 diplomatic protests from Manila by October. 2 Rammings and water cannons marked earlier months, like October’s stern hit on a Philippine ship. 18 Now, it’s patrols and prep. The U.S. pushes ASEAN to toughen up, slamming China’s Scarborough “nature reserve” as a land grab trick. 19 Japan sells gear to Manila, Australia joins drills. 14 It’s a web against the cat’s claws.
Why does this matter? These waters hold oil, gas, fish for millions. But more, it’s about rules. China rejects the 2016 ruling, claiming history trumps law—like in Tibet, where old maps justified control, or Xinjiang, where culture bowed to “unity.” 10 The Philippines, small but stubborn, bets on friends and facts. Marcos’ pivot to Washington strengthens that, despite home rifts. 12 No one’s stopping the dance, but steps grow surer.
Fishers still head out, soldiers scan horizons. The cat prowls, the mice multiply. In this sea, vigilance is the only peace. As China eyes more, reminders linger: territories lost to whispers rarely roar back easy. The Philippines watches, waits, and works with the world to keep the game from turning one-sided.
APA Citations for Sources Referenced in the Article
Below is a comprehensive list of APA-style citations for the open-source intelligence (OSINT) materials used as the basis for the article. These draw from web searches on key events, diplomatic developments, and historical context in the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) disputes. Citations are ordered by the citation IDs referenced inline (0–16, where applicable), followed by additional supporting sources. All were accessed on November 15, 2025.
Inline-Referenced Citations
- Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada. (2025, October 19). November 5-7: Manila Dialogue on the South China Sea. https://www.asiapacific.ca/events/november-5-7-manila-dialogue-south-china-sea
- The Manila Dialogue on the South China Sea. (2024, July 30). Home. https://scsdialogue.org/
- Daily Tribune. (2025, November 12). Endo graces Manila Dialogue on SCS. https://tribune.net.ph/2025/11/12/endo-graces-manila-dialogue-on-scs
- The Japan Times. (2025, November 13). ASEAN hedges as the South China Sea bubbles over. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/commentary/2025/11/13/world/aseans-passive-response-to-south-china-sea-dispute/
- The Manila Dialogue on the South China Sea. (2025, August 14). Agenda. https://scsdialogue.org/agenda/
- The Maritime Executive. (2024, November 10). China angered by the Philippines’ new maritime laws. https://maritime-executive.com/article/two-new-philippine-maritime-laws-anger-beijing
- Associated Press. (2024, November 8). Philippine president angers China with new laws to demarcate South China Sea territories. https://apnews.com/article/philippine-maritime-zones-act-archipelagic-sea-lanes-act-south-china-sea-4ecec3f00ab9367d948e5af3959aea21
- U.S.-ASEAN Business Council. (n.d.). Latest tension in South China Sea and Philippines’ Maritime Zone Bill. https://www.usasean.org/article/latest-tension-south-china-sea-and-philippines-maritime-zone-bill
- JURIST. (2024, November 9). China objects to new Philippine maritime laws. https://www.jurist.org/news/2024/11/china-objects-to-philippines-new-maritime-laws/
- Reuters. (2024, November 8). China summons Philippine ambassador over new maritime laws. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/philippine-president-signs-new-laws-assert-south-china-sea-rights-sovereignty-2024-11-08/
- The Guardian. (2025, November 10). Eight dead and more than a million displaced after super typhoon Fung-wong slams the Philippines. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/nov/10/super-typhoon-fung-wong-philippines
- Reuters. (2025, November 9). Super Typhoon Fung-wong slams into Philippines, two dead. https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/philippines-evacuates-100000-people-fung-wong-intensifies-into-super-typhoon-2025-11-09/
- NPR. (2025, November 10). Typhoon Fung-wong leaves 4 dead and 1.4 million displaced in the Philippines. https://www.npr.org/2025/11/10/g-s1-97144/typhoon-fung-wong-philippines
- NPR. (2025, November 9). Nearly a million people evacuate as Super Typhoon Fung-wong threatens the Philippines. https://www.npr.org/2025/11/09/g-s1-97091/nearly-a-million-people-evacuate-as-super-typhoon-fung-wong-threatens-the-philippines
- The New York Times. (2025, November 9). Super Typhoon Fung-wong hits Philippines days after last storm. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/world/asia/philippines-typhoon-fung-wong.html
- Chatham House. (2025, November 12). The Marcos–Duterte feud is undermining Philippine security in the South China Sea. https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/11/marcos-duterte-feud-undermining-philippine-security-south-china-sea
- USNI News. (2025, October 31). U.S. unveils Philippine task force to deter Chinese coercion. https://news.usni.org/2025/10/31/u-s-unveils-philippine-task-force-to-deter-chinese-coercion
Additional Supporting Citations
- Revista de Prensa. (2025, November 13). The Marcos–Duterte feud is undermining Philippine security in the South China Sea. https://www.almendron.com/tribuna/the-marcos-duterte-feud-is-undermining-philippine-security-in-the-south-china-sea/
- Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative. (2019, April 18). Duterte’s Scarborough Shoal moment. https://amti.csis.org/dutertes-scarborough-shoal-moment/
- Asia Times. (2024, December 1). Philippines: Marcos-Duterte feud puts China in the heated middle. https://asiatimes.com/2024/11/philippines-marcos-duterte-feud-puts-china-in-the-heated-middle/
- USNI News. (2025, November 13). U.S. Marines deploy drone unit to Philippines to patrol over South China Sea. https://news.usni.org/2025/11/13/u-s-marines-deploy-drone-unit-to-philippines-to-patrol-over-south-china-sea
- Military Times. (2025, November 14). Marines deploy Reaper drone unit to South China Sea. https://www.militarytimes.com/news/2025/11/14/marines-deploy-reaper-drone-unit-to-south-china-sea/
- Defence Security Asia. (2024, June 4). US deploy MQ-9A Reaper drones in Philippines to support intelligence activities in South China Sea. https://defencesecurityasia.com/en/us-deploy-mq-9a-reaper-drones-in-philippines-to-support-intelligence-activities-in-south-china-sea/
- USNI News. (2024, June 3). U.S. Marine MQ-9A Reapers now deployed to the Philippines. https://news.usni.org/2024/06/03/u-s-marine-mq-9a-reapers-now-deployed-to-the-philippines
- SSBCrack News. (2025, November 14). U.S. Marine Corps deploys MQ-9 Reaper drones to support Philippine forces in South China Sea. https://news.ssbcrack.com/u-s-marine-corps-deploys-mq-9-reaper-drones-to-support-philippine-forces-in-south-china-sea/
- Mindanao Gold Star Daily. (2025, November 12). Rufus urges global action against China’s maritime abuses. https://mindanaogoldstardaily.com/archives/153710
- Philippine News Agency. (n.d.). Lawmaker lauds PBBM for raising aggression in WPS before US-ASEAN meet. https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1261963
- Philippine News Agency. (n.d.). China should accept PBBM’s declaration on WPS – lawmaker. https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1229570
- Indo-Pacific Defense Forum. (2025, October 8). International community exposes China’s intent at Scarborough Shoal. https://ipdefenseforum.com/2025/10/international-community-exposes-chinas-intent-at-scarborough-shoal/
- The Diplomat. (2025, November 14). China’s upgraded lawfare in the South China Sea. https://thediplomat.com/2025/11/chinas-upgraded-lawfare-in-the-south-china-sea/
- Manila Bulletin. (2025, November 9). AFP suspends ‘DAGIT-PA’ exercise due to Super Typhoon ‘Uwan’. https://mb.com.ph/2025/11/09/afp-suspends-dagit-pa-exercise-due-to-super-typhoon-uwan
- Inquirer News. (2025, November 9). AFP suspends DAGIT-PA drills, deploys troops for Uwan response. https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/2136979/afp-suspends-dagit-pa-drills-deploys-troops-for-uwan-response
- The Bench Files. (2025, November 5). AFP launches AJEX DAGIT-PA 2025 to boost national defense readiness. https://thebenchfile.com/2025/11/05/afp-launches-ajex-dagit-pa-2025-to-boost-national-defense-readiness/
- GMA News Online. (2025, November 13). AFP sharpens land defense operations through joint drills. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/966069/afp-sharpens-land-defense-operations-through-joint-drills/story/
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- USNI News. (2025, April 27). Updated: USS Nimitz in the Philippine Sea; U.S. destroyer makes Taiwan Strait transit. https://news.usni.org/2025/04/25/u-s-chinese-carriers-now-in-the-philippine-sea-u-s-destroyer-makes-taiwan-strait-transit
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