By Cliff Potts
BAYBAY CITY, Leyte, Philippines — July 26, 2026 — 15:45 PhST
Nearly two-thirds of the Republicans who participated in Iowa’s 2024 presidential caucuses said they did not believe President Joe Biden had legitimately won the 2020 election.
That statistic requires precision. It did not measure every registered Republican in Iowa. It measured the committed Republican voters who attended the caucuses. Even with that qualification, the finding is damning: election denial had become a mainstream belief among the people choosing the party’s presidential nominee.
The claim remains unsupported by evidence.
More than 60 lawsuits challenging the 2020 election produced no judicial finding of widespread fraud capable of changing the result. Judges appointed by Republican and Democratic presidents rejected the allegations. State recounts and audits confirmed the results, while Trump’s own Justice Department found no fraud on a scale that could have overturned the election (Campaign Legal Center, n.d.).
Yet the belief survived every failed lawsuit, every recount and every investigation.
From Political Claim to Article of Faith
This is no longer ordinary skepticism. Skepticism requires people to examine evidence and remain willing to change their conclusions. Election denial operates in the opposite direction: the conclusion is accepted first, and every piece of contrary evidence is dismissed as part of the conspiracy.
For many Republican voters, belief that the 2020 election was stolen has become a test of political loyalty. Accepting the documented result can be treated as betrayal, while repeating the falsehood demonstrates membership in the movement.
The pattern extends far beyond Iowa. An April 2026 Reuters/Ipsos poll found that 63% of Republicans nationwide still believed the election had been stolen from Donald Trump. Only 21% of independents and 9% of Democrats agreed (Reuters, 2026a).
That is not simply a disagreement over policy. It is the rejection of a verifiable historical event by most members of one of the country’s two major political parties.
The Lie Is Being Prepared for 2026
The continued fixation on 2020 matters because Donald Trump and his allies are placing election fraud claims at the center of the Republican campaign for the 2026 midterm elections.
Reuters found that Trump repeated the claim that the 2020 election was rigged at least 107 times during one six-month period leading into the midterms (Reuters, 2026b).
In July, Trump revived allegations involving foreign interference, voting machines and noncitizen voting. However, intelligence assessments and election reviews did not support his central claims. A Reuters investigation found that since Congress made noncitizen voting in federal elections a specific crime in 1996, only 129 people had been federally charged and 73 convicted or had pleaded guilty—a microscopic number in a nation where hundreds of millions of ballots have been cast (Reuters, 2026c).
The purpose of these accusations is becoming obvious. Supporters are being conditioned to accept Republican victories as legitimate and Republican defeats as fraudulent before the ballots are even counted.
A Republic Cannot Survive Permanent Denial
Democracy requires more than voting. It requires losing candidates and their supporters to accept verified results.
When citizens decide that evidence matters only when it supports their political side, elections become meaningless. Every defeat becomes a conspiracy. Every election official becomes a suspect. Every court becomes corrupt. Eventually, political violence can be portrayed as justified because believers have convinced themselves that lawful government has already been stolen.
Calling this ignorance may be too generous. The evidence has been available for years. The courts ruled. The votes were audited. Trump administration officials contradicted the fraud claims.
The problem is the deliberate choice to believe a politically useful story instead of documented reality.
Iowa’s caucus results showed how deeply that choice has taken root. The 2026 campaign shows that Republican leaders intend to keep cultivating it.
A constitutional republic can survive fierce disagreement. It cannot indefinitely survive a movement that recognizes elections only when it wins them.
Author
This essay is written by Cliff Potts, Editor-in-Chief of WPS News. WPS News has been active in one form or another on the internet since 1998; for more information, visit https://cliffpotts.org.
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References
Campaign Legal Center. (n.d.). Results of lawsuits regarding the 2020 elections.
Reuters. (2026a, April 23). Trump’s election fraud claims spread distrust before midterms, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds.
Reuters. (2026b, May 26). Trump claims 2020 election “rigged” at least 107 times in six months as midterms loom.
Reuters. (2026c, July 19). Trump claims voting by noncitizens is rampant in America. The numbers tell another story.
The Washington Post. (2024, January 15). Iowa exit poll results and analysis from the 2024 caucuses.
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